Wednesday, September 6, 2017

Two Clowns and a Button


            Floods in Texas, fires in California, a Category 5 hurricane targeting Florida—what more destruction can we take? There’s worse, I’m afraid, because we have two clowns with bad haircuts threatening nuclear holocaust. God forbid one of them decides to push the button first.

            Kim Jong Un’s objective is a reunited Korea under his control, and he is playing a dangerous game of chicken to reach it. He is wagering that the United States will abandon South Korea rather than start a nuclear war. That’s why he’s raising the ante with more tests of missiles capable of delivering a hydrogen bomb to Japan or even a U.S. territory. In response, President Trump threatens fire and fury. But what kind?

            The debate in the bowels of the Pentagon is on whether or not to carry out a preventive strike. It is doubtful that the U.S. would use nukes to vaporize North Korea without a first strike by the renegade regime, no matter how grave the threats from Pyongyang. Short of a nuclear strike, the options are a matter of degree: do we try to send a message by going after North Korea’s launch sites, or do we target all of its military facilities, including Kim’s headquarters? In either case our actions would likely trigger a retaliation that could vaporize Seoul and kill thousands of American soldiers. That’s not a responsibility that our President and his military advisors want to bear.

            Does this mean that Kim’s strategy is working? Maybe. But we have other means of persuading him to back off, like severe economic, financial, and trade sanctions and cutting off any country that does business with North Korea. But sanctions have never worked in the past and are not likely to work now. And cutting business ties with China and others has enormous implications on many levels, none of which are good for us. So where are we now?

            Hoping for a resolution to this conflict is much like waiting to see where Hurricane Irma will hit. The only certainty: devastation. 

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